Recession fertility update: unemployment story strengthens

The relationship between unemployment and fertility changes during the recession is very strong.

Using the new 2010 fertility rate data (births per 1,000 women ages 15-44) and 2009 unemployment rate by state (giving unemployment a year to work its magic), I can update my earlier post. When you line up the changes  in fertility and unemployment rates, this is what you get:

In my last post I reported this correlation as -.48, but now it is up to -.55. This correlation doesn’t prove a causal relationship. However, with the national evidence that the fertility rate has tracked the economy pretty well since the 1990s, the circumstantial evidence is strong.

4 Comments

Filed under In the news

4 responses to “Recession fertility update: unemployment story strengthens

  1. Pingback: Recession studies, academic job security edition « Family Inequality

  2. Pingback: Births bottoming out? « Family Inequality

  3. Pingback: Fertility bottoms out, reflects unemployment « Family Inequality

  4. Pingback: Of Winners, Losers and I | My Sister Eileen

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