I pulled together a few charts for a presentation on demographic trends, including Israel / Palestine. It follows my post from 5 years ago, when I concluded that, "Israel’s trajectory is unsustainable in more ways than one." These use data from the UN, Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics, World Bank, and Israel Democracy Institute. 1.…
A short paper on the decline of all things marriage in the U.S.
A higher status marriage system is a smaller, slower, and more stable marriage system.
Demographic facts for students: 2022
Updating a series I started in 2013. Despite what people in my generation were told, it's not true that, "facts are useless in an emergency." Knowing basic facts is the key to detecting bullshit, which thrives in conditions of basic ignorance. In this post I suggest you and your students memorize a small number of…
What’s the story? Family demography at the end of progress
Against a perception of normal modernity that is on some kind of track that we can try to get a handle on while we work around distractions like a pandemic, climate change, diverging and growing inequality, the centrifugal tendency of identities to be fragmenting, and policy incoherence.
Black and White women’s lifetime marriage projections
Projections show 86.2% for White women, and 61.7% for Black women, eventually marrying for a cohort born and living through conditions prevailing in 2019.
Science says: Get married at age Whatever You Want (and these are the odds of divorce)
Divorce odds are lowest for women who marry later, and for people who've been married a long time.
The median mother is 30, TV interview edition
When you look at what has happened since the recession in 2008, the decline in birth was pretty dramatic, but it was all among women under age 35.
What’s the story (with the future of family demography)
Do family demography in light of disasters, inequalities, identities, and policies as messy, incoherent, unpredictable features of society – not bugs in the ointment of modern progress.
Ukraine’s refugee crisis is a demographic crisis, too
If one-half of the 2.2 million refugees are children, that's 1.1 million, which is 13% of the Ukraine's children. This is two weeks in, with no end in sight.
Demographic facts all students should know right now
If anyone tells you that "facts are useless in an emergency," give them a bad grade.