The pandemic and the family, demography edition (video)

In September 2020 versus September 2019, births were 6.1% lower in Florida and 9.6% lower in California. If this has nothing to do with the pandemic that's even more shocking.

The arriving divorce decline

A 3 percent drop in the refined divorce rate for 2018.

The Coming Divorce Decline, Socius edition

"The Coming Divorce Decline, " which I first posted a year ago, has now been published by the journal Socius.  Three thousand people have downloaded it from SocArXiv, I presented it at the Population Association, and it's been widely reported (media reports), but now it's also "peer reviewed." Since Socius is open access, I posted their…

Divorce fell in one Florida county (and 31 others), and you will totally believe what happened next

You can really do a lot with the common public misperception that divorce is always going up.

Let’s raise the legal age of marriage in Maryland

Today I sent the following letter to the Maryland House Judiciary Committee, which is scheduled to hold a hearing on these bills tomorrow. Under current law in Maryland, marriage is permitted as young as age 15 with parental consent and evidence of pregnancy or childbirth, and age 16-17 with one or the other, and these…

How about using half the Bezos fortune to stop US child poverty for one year?

There is a serious fairness issue here, but it doesn't have to do with whether MacKenzie ends up with $1 billion or $68 billion.

Predicted divorce decline rolls on

2017 comes in as predicted, and points toward continued decline in divorce rates.

Breaking Millennial divorce drop news explained

The metabackstory on the news about my divorce paper.

The coming divorce decline

Unless something changes outside the demogosphere, the divorce rate is going to go down in the coming years. Divorce represents a number of problems from a social science perspective. Most people seem to assume "the divorce rate" is always going up, compared with the good old days, which are supposed to be the whole past…

Visualizing family modernization, 1900-2016

After this post about small multiple graphs, and partly inspired by two news reports I was interviewed for -- this Salt Lake Tribune story about teen marriage, and this New York Times report mapping age at first birth -- I made some historical data figures. These visualizations use decennial census data from 1900 to 1990,…